Thinking about buying foreclosures?

Sure, why not. Bargains everywhere right?  Maybe.  I wouldn't say that buying foreclosures in this market qualifies as "contrarian investing" but...

At least do yourself a favor and spend some time learning the ropes first.   It's not--as its promoters would have us believe--like shooting fish in a barrel, especially now that investing in the declining market has become the new vogue.  Here's a blog post by Temecula California realtor article Kathy Neilsen on what to do and what not to do.  I wouldn't say it's the first,  last or only word, but it's a great start and a helpful perspective from a pro if you're thinking of  diving into this shark pond.

 

Latest News on the "Short Sale" front

A while back I wrote a piece on the advisability of "short sales," with a reference to TMG West and its principal Bill Gordon.   Wanting to stay current  on the subject I called Bill the other day to see how things in that segment of the market were going, and it turns out that the news isn't great.

Instead of getting easier, short sales seem to be getting more difficult to get done.  According to Bill's experience, some lenders (Ocwen Financial, for instance) are reported to have instituted policies halting them altogether, while still others, like Countrywide, have restricted the review process to the last few days before the completion of the foreclosure sale itself.

To me the most telling news of my phone conversation with Bill is that his company has stopped doing them altogether.  They're just too hard to get done and more often than not they wind up wasting everyone's time. 

For those who are unsure of what, exactly, a short sale is, just today there is an article in the Philadelphia Enquirer describing the process.  It doesn't say much as to whether these things make any sense, but it does give you some of the basic info. 

My own spin on whether they are worth the effort to even attempt is that it depends.   On who the lender is.  On what the difference between your loans and the value of the property.  On whether the property is a principal residence, second home or investment vehicle.  On what the rest of your financial condition looks like.  On whether you stand to gain anything or whether the risks outweigh the benefits.   

Be careful of short sale boosters.  But then that goes for anyone in this market who advocates a one size fits all remedy to a distressed real estate asset.  There is no single solution...except for a market turnaround. 

Project Lifeline: Real help...or a bigger shovel for a deeper hole?

In what has got to be one of the most absurd cases of political window dressing from an administration renowned for its absurd political window dressing, someone very clever inside the Beltway, together with six of the nation's largest mortgage lenders, has come up with what they're calling "Project Lifeline."  As a solution to a problem it's about on par with putting a band aid on a severed limb. But as an act of political theater? I can't help but think "Karl Rove." Anything so useless, so hollowly symbolic, so hostile to the lower middle class...and so appealingly named, has gotta have his finger prints all over it. For two analyses of this proposed legislation, here's how it was reported by Business Week, and here's kind of a wonkish economist's analysis of this blunderbuss. And these critics aren't even part of the liberal media.

For a discussion of why this is more comedy then remedy, read on...

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Are "short sales" worth the hassle?

The latest craze around these parts--at least with stressed out under-water homeowners and under-employed residential sales agents--is the "short sale."  A short sale is nothing more than a sale of a piece of real estate for less than the amount of the total debt secured by it. The concept is attractive, though the reality is significantly less so.  Whether it's worth the hassles and heartburn is going to depend on your particular situation. 

However, assuming you've decided to actually go through with trying to do this, here are some thoughts and cautions...

First of all, I don't take any credit at all for the following advice and observations.  They come from a recent seminar I attended hosted by Fidelity National Title in Novato, at which the guest speaker was Bill Gordon of TMG West.   Although based in Burlingame, California, TMG's website indicates that they're doing these all up and down the West Coast.  Bill gave a seminar to a group of brokers and sales agents recently and he knows his stuff.  He was kind enough to allow me to attend, and was even patient with me when I couldn't keep my mouth shut a couple of times.

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